January 28, 2010
The Ostrich Syndrome
(Green house gases)
“…they imagine, when they have thrust their head and neck into a bush, that the whole of their body is concealed”. Pliny the Elder (23-79AD)
What is intriguing about the ostrich “deception” is that sometimes it works. (When hiding, they will sometimes lay flat on the ground, with the long neck and head also on the ground. In the rippling heat haze of their native Africa, they can look just like a grassy mound.) The key to the ostrich’s success is adapting to its environment and effectively escaping notice. That approach seems to be working today for the global-climate-change lobby
. As a scientist, I have been frustrated for some time over the absence of logic in some of the climate-change declarations. Possibly the most flawed is the “science by consensus” argument that defies reason, principle, and history. There is the absence of legitimate history-matching for climate models; there is the arbitrary classification of CO2, a common gas essential to life and a natural product of life as a pollutant. There are the thousands of scientists who have not joined the “consensus,” and finally the name change from “global warming” to “climate change” to escape the exposé of cooling trends.
Finally, in recent weeks there have been the revelations that fundamentally discredit the United Nations IPCC report, the report representing the underpinning for a network of offenses, solutions, alternatives, and “conclusions” for which Americans have already paid billions without substantiation of any measurable change. The loss of the IPCC report is a devastating blow to the consensus-science crowd. The report upon which they claimed consensus is gone. It is like losing the sun in a solar system. There is nothing left to hold things together. It is back to the drawing board, and this time with a great deal more scientific data.
A politically driven agenda based on “consensus” is much harder to sell when there is conflicting scientific data. But we have a problem. We are all going merrily down the path of ineffective and impoverishing solutions to solve an imaginary problem. The global warming lobby has gone into ostrich mode, and it is working. America is acting as if nothing has changed. We are still debating solutions and developing costly long range plans as if nothing had changed. In the rippling heat of “consensus,” the ostrich of Climate-Gate is being permitted to continue its economic destruction undetected and unimpeded. Someone has to say something – maybe it should be Missouri. The climate is important to all of us, but it is time to demand that predictions be based on measured data and developed following the scientific method, not political consensus.
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